Gerald Meerschaert vs Michal Oleksiejczuk

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Meerschaert's elite submission game (1.4 subs per fight) perfectly exploits Oleksiejczuk's catastrophic recent form - five straight losses, three by submission. Oleksiejczuk's 48% takedown defense and tendency to gas after high-volume striking (5.27 SLPM) plays directly into Meerschaert's patient grappling approach. The veteran's three-fight submission streak and Oleksiejczuk's proven submission vulnerability create a clear path to victory.

Meerschaert's high submission average and proven finishing ability on the ground directly exploit Oleksiejczuk's historically weak submission defense. While Oleksiejczuk is the superior striker and more dangerous on the feet, his takedown defense (48%) and previous submission losses make him vulnerable to Meerschaert's grappling-heavy approach.