Karine Silva vs Dione Barbosa

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Silva's elite grappling credentials (3.59 takedowns per fight, 72% accuracy) combined with her 3 submission wins in last 5 fights make her the clear favorite. Despite similar submission rates, Silva's superior takedown accuracy (72% vs 33%) and perfect UFC record before her last loss indicate higher skill ceiling.

Silva's aggressive grappling (3.59 takedowns per 15 min, 72% accuracy) and high submission average (2.2 per 15 min) give her a proven edge against Barbosa, whose takedown defense is just 42%. While Barbosa is defensively sound on the feet and matches Silva's submission output, her lower grappling volume and takedown accuracy (33%) suggest Silva can dictate ground exchanges. Silva's finishing instincts and control in transitions are likely decisive.