Bryan Battle vs Nursulton Ruziboev
Middleweight · Prelims · UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
Who wins, by source
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
Battle's superior striking volume (5.12 vs 2.59 SLPM) and recent finishing streak give him a significant edge. Ruziboev's poor takedown defense (33%) and frequent weight class changes indicate vulnerability. Battle has finished 3 of his last 5 fights by KO/TKO and maintains better striking accuracy (52% vs 46%).
Bryan Battle holds a significant edge in striking volume and accuracy, landing over 5 significant strikes per minute at a high 52% accuracy compared to Ruziboev's lower output. While Ruziboev is more accurate with takedowns, his takedown defense is poor (33%), and his striking defense is only slightly better than Battle's. Battle's ability to outland opponents and maintain a positive striking differential, combined with Ruziboev's lower win rate and striking absorption rate, suggest Battle will win rounds and avoid significant grappling threats.