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Bryan Battle vs Nursulton Ruziboev

Middleweight · Prelims · UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev

Bryan Battle
Bryan Battle
Age 30 · Elo 1608
WWWWW
251 days since last fight
vs
Nursulton Ruziboev
Nursulton Ruziboev
Age 31 · Elo 1556
WWWLW
91 days since last fight

Who wins, by source

Bryan BattleNursulton Ruziboev
Claude Claude: Bryan Battle 72% Claude: Nursulton Ruziboev 28% 72% 28% GPT GPT: Bryan Battle 68% GPT: Nursulton Ruziboev 32% 68% 32% Elo Elo: Bryan Battle 57% Elo: Nursulton Ruziboev 43% 57% 43%

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Tale of the tape

Bryan BattleNursulton Ruziboev
Strikes landed / min Bryan Battle Strikes landed / min: 5.12 5.12 Nursulton Ruziboev Strikes landed / min: 2.38 2.38 Strikes absorbed / min Bryan Battle Strikes absorbed / min: 4.11 4.11 Nursulton Ruziboev Strikes absorbed / min: 2.68 2.68 Striking accuracy Bryan Battle Striking accuracy: 52% 52% Nursulton Ruziboev Striking accuracy: 46% 46% Striking defense Bryan Battle Striking defense: 44% 44% Nursulton Ruziboev Striking defense: 49% 49% Takedowns / 15 min Bryan Battle Takedowns / 15 min: 0.77 0.77 Nursulton Ruziboev Takedowns / 15 min: 1.36 1.36 Takedown defense Bryan Battle Takedown defense: 53% 53% Nursulton Ruziboev Takedown defense: 33% 33% Sub attempts / 15 min Bryan Battle Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.4 0.4 Nursulton Ruziboev Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.3 0.3

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

How it ends

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Claude Claude: KO/TKO 48% 48% Claude: Submission 15% 15% Claude: Decision 37% 37%GPT GPT: KO/TKO 18% 18% GPT: Submission 7% GPT: Decision 75% 75%

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

The analysis

Claude
Bryan Battle by KO/TKO, 72% confidence

Battle's superior striking volume (5.12 vs 2.59 SLPM) and recent finishing streak give him a significant edge. Ruziboev's poor takedown defense (33%) and frequent weight class changes indicate vulnerability. Battle has finished 3 of his last 5 fights by KO/TKO and maintains better striking accuracy (52% vs 46%).

GPT
Bryan Battle by Decision, 68% confidence

Bryan Battle holds a significant edge in striking volume and accuracy, landing over 5 significant strikes per minute at a high 52% accuracy compared to Ruziboev's lower output. While Ruziboev is more accurate with takedowns, his takedown defense is poor (33%), and his striking defense is only slightly better than Battle's. Battle's ability to outland opponents and maintain a positive striking differential, combined with Ruziboev's lower win rate and striking absorption rate, suggest Battle will win rounds and avoid significant grappling threats.