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UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. ChimaevMiddleweightPrelims
Baisangur SusurkaevWINNER
Baisangur
Susurkaev
24 yrsElo 1567*UFC debut
VS
Eric Nolan
Eric
Nolan
27 yrsElo 1501*UFC debut
Final: Baisangur Susurkaev by SUB Rear Naked Choke
Who wins
Claude
68%
Susurkaev
GPT
78%
Susurkaev
Elo
59%
Susurkaev
1567 vs 1501
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
6'2" Height 6'2"
79" Reach 74"
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
3.26 Landed / min n/a
2.28 Absorbed / minlower better n/a
58% Strike accuracy 0%
46% Strike defense 0%
0% TD accuracy 0%
100% TD defense 0%
Small sample: Baisangur Susurkaev, 0 UFC fights; Eric Nolan, 0 UFC fights.
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 25%Claude: Submission 10%Claude: Decision 65%
65%Decision
Claude calls Decision
KO/TKO 25%Submission 10%Decision 65%
GPT: KO/TKO 15%GPT: Submission 7%GPT: Decision 78%
78%Decision
GPT calls Decision
KO/TKO 15%Submission 7%Decision 78%
Why
Claude
Baisangur Susurkaev
68% · Decision
  • Susurkaev's 79-inch reach vs Nolan's 74 inches creates significant range control advantage
  • 100% takedown defense ensures Susurkaev can keep the fight standing where he excels
  • 3.26 SLPM with 58% accuracy vs Nolan's unknown UFC-level striking creates clear offensive edge
  • Susurkaev's youth (24) and orthodox stance mirror match favors the more experienced UFC fighter
Write-up

Susurkaev holds significant advantages in every measurable metric against a debuting Nolan with no UFC statistics. His 5-inch reach advantage, 58% striking accuracy, and 100% takedown defense create a comprehensive edge. The 3.26 strikes landed per minute with positive differential (+0.98) suggests Susurkaev can control range and pace. Nolan's complete lack of UFC data makes this a high-risk debut against an established striker.

GPT
Baisangur Susurkaev
78% · Decision
  • Significantly higher striking accuracy and output (58% accuracy, 3.26 SLpM)
  • Perfect takedown defense (100%)
  • Lack of statistical output or proven effectiveness from Eric Nolan
Write-up

Susurkaev has demonstrated effective and accurate striking with a 58% accuracy and positive strike differential, while Nolan's statistical profile is essentially blank, suggesting either limited or no UFC data. Additionally, Susurkaev's perfect takedown defense indicates strong defensive awareness. Given the lack of data or proven effectiveness from Nolan, Susurkaev is a clear favorite to win on points.