Baisangur Susurkaev vs Eric Nolan
Middleweight · Prelims · UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
Who wins, by source
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
Susurkaev holds significant advantages in every measurable metric against a debuting Nolan with no UFC statistics. His 5-inch reach advantage, 58% striking accuracy, and 100% takedown defense create a comprehensive edge. The 3.26 strikes landed per minute with positive differential (+0.98) suggests Susurkaev can control range and pace. Nolan's complete lack of UFC data makes this a high-risk debut against an established striker.
Susurkaev has demonstrated effective and accurate striking with a 58% accuracy and positive strike differential, while Nolan's statistical profile is essentially blank, suggesting either limited or no UFC data. Additionally, Susurkaev's perfect takedown defense indicates strong defensive awareness. Given the lack of data or proven effectiveness from Nolan, Susurkaev is a clear favorite to win on points.