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UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. ChimaevFlyweightPrelims
Alibi Idiris
Alibi
Idiris
30 yrsElo 1475*UFC debut
VS
Joseph MoralesWINNER
Joseph
Morales
1-2UFC
30 yrsElo 1519
Final: Joseph Morales by SUB Triangle Choke
Who wins
Claude
58%
Morales
GPT
75%
Morales
Elo
56%
Morales
1475 vs 1519
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
5'6" Height 5'6"
68" Reach 69"
Orthodox Stance Switch
n/a Landed / min 2.00
n/a Absorbed / minlower better 2.05
0% Strike accuracy 40%
0% Strike defense 57%
n/a Takedowns / 15 1.14
0% TD accuracy 42%
0% TD defense 26%
n/a Subs / 15 3.0
Small sample: Alibi Idiris, 0 UFC fights.
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 15%Claude: Submission 35%Claude: Decision 50%
50%Decision
Claude calls Decision
KO/TKO 15%Submission 35%Decision 50%
GPT: KO/TKO 10%GPT: Submission 60%GPT: Decision 30%
60%Submission
GPT calls Submission
KO/TKO 10%Submission 60%Decision 30%
Formnewest first
Alibi Idiris
No UFC fights
Joseph Morales2470 days out
L
Eric Shelton
S-DEC · 2018-11-10
L
Deiveson Figueiredo
KO/TKO · 2018-02-03
W
Robert Sanchez
SUB · 2017-08-05
Why
Claude
Joseph Morales
58% · Decision
  • Morales has 3 UFC fights vs Idiris making debut with no recorded stats
  • 1-inch reach advantage and switch stance versatility for Morales
  • Morales averages 2.6 submission attempts showing offensive grappling threat
  • 60% striking defense for Morales provides defensive baseline against unknown opponent
Write-up

Morales' UFC experience and established skill set make him the favorite against the debuting Idiris. With no available stats for Idiris and Morales showing submission threat (2.6 per fight), experience becomes the deciding factor. Morales' switch stance and reach advantage provide tactical options.

GPT
Joseph Morales
75% · Submission
  • Morales has a high submission average (2.6 sub avg)
  • Idiris has no demonstrated UFC-level offense or defense
  • Morales' grappling accuracy and experience advantage
Write-up

Joseph Morales holds a significant statistical and experience advantage, as Alibi Idiris has no quantifiable UFC data available, suggesting either an Octagon debut or no effective offense/defense in prior appearances. Morales displays above-average submission volume (2.6 subs per 15 minutes), decent striking efficiency, and a proven ability to control and finish opponents on the ground. Idiris' unknowns and Morales' grappling edge point to a likely submission finish.