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UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3BantamweightPrelims
Kyler Phillips
Kyler
Phillips
6-2UFC
30 yrsElo 1547
VS
Vinicius OliveiraWINNER
Vinicius
Oliveira
3-0UFC
29 yrsElo 1565
Final: Vinicius Oliveira by U-DEC
Who wins
Claude
68%
Oliveira
GPT
62%
Phillips
Elo
53%
Oliveira
1547 vs 1565
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
5'8" Height 5'9"
72" Reach 70"
Orthodox Stance Switch
5.28 Landed / min 5.87
3.47 Absorbed / minlower better 2.87
44% Strike accuracy 43%
60% Strike defense 53%
2.63 Takedowns / 15 1.38
51% TD accuracy 60%
75% TD defense 68%
0.4 Subs / 15 0.0
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 45%Claude: Submission 10%Claude: Decision 45%
45%KO/TKO
Claude calls KO/TKO, Round 2
KO/TKO 45%Submission 10%Decision 45%
GPT: KO/TKO 18%GPT: Submission 12%GPT: Decision 70%
70%Decision
GPT calls Decision
KO/TKO 18%Submission 12%Decision 70%
Formnewest first
Kyler Phillips448 days out
L
Rob Font
U-DEC · 2024-04-27
W
Pedro Munhoz
U-DEC · 2024-03-09
W
Raoni Barcelos
U-DEC · 2023-08-05
W
Marcelo Rojo
SUB · 2022-02-12
L
Raulian Paiva
M-DEC · 2021-07-24
Vinicius Oliveira167 days out
W
Said Nurmagomedov
U-DEC · 2025-02-01
W
Benardo Sopaj
KO/TKO · 2024-03-02
W
Ricky Simon
U-DEC · 2024-01-27
Why
Claude
Vinicius Oliveira
68% · KO/TKO
  • Oliveira boasts a +3.0 striking differential compared to Phillips' +1.81, indicating superior offensive output
  • Phillips has lost 2 consecutive fights while Oliveira is undefeated in UFC (3-0) with strong momentum
  • Oliveira's recent KO victory shows finishing power at 135lbs against durable competition
  • Phillips' 60% striking defense leaves openings for Oliveira's 5.87 SLPM volume
Write-up

Oliveira enters on a perfect 3-0 UFC streak with momentum and finishing ability, while Phillips has dropped 2 straight. Oliveira's superior striking differential (3.0 vs 1.81) and recent KO victory suggest he can exploit Phillips' declining chin. Phillips' wrestling advantage is mitigated by Oliveira's improving takedown defense and dangerous counter-striking.

GPT
Kyler Phillips
62% · Decision
  • Superior takedown average and defense for Phillips
  • Higher overall striking defense for Phillips
  • Oliveira's high output offset by defensive lapses
Write-up

Kyler Phillips combines strong striking defense (60%) and higher takedown output (2.63 per fight) with a well-rounded, athletic style. Oliveira is more aggressive offensively (higher SLpM, greater striking differential), but absorbs more strikes and has less reliable defensive metrics. Phillips' wrestling and ability to mix stances should allow him to control the fight pace and score on the judges' cards.