Jimmy Crute vs Marcin Prachnio

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Crute's superior grappling metrics (4.84 TD avg vs 0.15, 2.0 sub avg vs 0) combined with Prachnio's vulnerability to submissions (3 sub losses in last 5 fights) creates a clear path to victory. Prachnio's 53% TD defense and recent submission losses to Modestas Bukauskas and Devin Clark highlight his ground game deficiencies. Crute's 2-0 record against common opponents versus Prachnio's 0-2 further reinforces the skill gap.

Crute has a massive grappling advantage, with nearly 5 takedowns per fight and a high submission average, while Prachnio has poor takedown defense and almost no offensive grappling. Although Prachnio has a higher striking volume and accuracy, Crute has demonstrated better performance against common opponents and can neutralize Prachnio's striking by taking the fight to the ground.