Dan Ige vs Patricio Freire

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Ige's UFC experience and superior cardio should overwhelm Freire in his promotional debut. While Freire brings elite Bellator credentials, the transition to UFC's pace and pressure testing has historically been challenging. Ige's 6-inch reach advantage and proven durability against UFC-caliber strikers will be decisive factors. Freire's 94% takedown defense is impressive but untested against UFC wrestlers, and Ige's improved boxing combinations shown in his recent KO win position him well to control distance.

Dan Ige's higher striking volume, slightly more accurate striking, and positive strike differential give him an advantage over Patricio Freire, whose UFC-level metrics show a negative strike differential and higher absorption rate. While Freire has elite takedown defense (94%) and a higher submission average, Ige's takedown attempts and accuracy are modest, so the fight likely remains standing. Ige's output and defensive metrics are more consistent for three rounds. The reach advantage for Freire may be mitigated by Ige's movement and activity.