Brunno Ferreira vs Jackson McVey
Middleweight · Prelims · UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
Who wins, by source
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
Ferreira's 4-1 record with 4 KO/TKO finishes demonstrates elite power at middleweight. McVey's UFC debut with no recorded statistics creates massive uncertainty. Ferreira's 4.99 SLPM and 54% accuracy indicate aggressive, effective striking. His recent 3-fight KO streak shows peak form, while McVey's complete lack of UFC data suggests experience disadvantage. Orthodox vs southpaw creates openings for Ferreira's power shots.
Brunno Ferreira demonstrates clear statistical superiority in striking volume, accuracy, and defensive metrics, with significant UFC experience. Jackson McVey lacks any recorded UFC-level data, indicating either debut status or insufficient sample size, making his competitive level a major unknown. Ferreira's aggressive style, high strike output, and proven finishing ability against established opposition make him a strong favorite in this matchup.