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UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3MiddleweightPrelims
Brunno FerreiraWINNER
Brunno
Ferreira
4-1UFC
32 yrsElo 1566
VS
Jackson McVey
Jackson
McVey
26 yrsElo 1507*UFC debut
Final: Brunno Ferreira by SUB Armbar
Who wins
Claude
78%
Ferreira
GPT
78%
Ferreira
Elo
58%
Ferreira
1566 vs 1507
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
5'10" Height 6'4"
72" Reach 77"
Orthodox Stance Southpaw
3.27 Landed / min 6.51
3.75 Absorbed / minlower better 3.37
49% Strike accuracy 69%
51% Strike defense 23%
1.00 Takedowns / 15 n/a
22% TD accuracy 0%
50% TD defense 0%
0.6 Subs / 15 1.2
Small sample: Jackson McVey, 0 UFC fights.
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 70%Claude: Submission 5%Claude: Decision 25%
70%KO/TKO
Claude calls KO/TKO, Round 1
KO/TKO 70%Submission 5%Decision 25%
GPT: KO/TKO 65%GPT: Submission 5%GPT: Decision 30%
65%KO/TKO
GPT calls KO/TKO
KO/TKO 65%Submission 5%Decision 30%
Formnewest first
Brunno Ferreira132 days out
W
Armen Petrosyan
SUB Armbar · 2025-03-08
W
Phil Hawes
KO/TKO · 2024-01-13
W
Dustin Stoltzfus
KO/TKO · 2024-01-06
L
Nursulton Ruziboev
KO/TKO · 2023-07-01
W
Gregory Rodrigues
KO/TKO · 2023-01-21
Jackson McVey
No UFC fights
Why
Claude
Brunno Ferreira
78% · KO/TKO
  • Ferreira on 3-fight KO streak, all finishes within 2 rounds
  • McVey making UFC debut with zero recorded statistics or UFC experience
  • 4.99 SLPM output with 54% accuracy demonstrates Ferreira's striking efficiency
  • 80% win rate with 100% of wins by KO/TKO shows consistent finishing ability
Write-up

Ferreira's 4-1 record with 4 KO/TKO finishes demonstrates elite power at middleweight. McVey's UFC debut with no recorded statistics creates massive uncertainty. Ferreira's 4.99 SLPM and 54% accuracy indicate aggressive, effective striking. His recent 3-fight KO streak shows peak form, while McVey's complete lack of UFC data suggests experience disadvantage. Orthodox vs southpaw creates openings for Ferreira's power shots.

GPT
Brunno Ferreira
78% · KO/TKO
  • Ferreira's high striking volume and 54% accuracy
  • Substantial gap in UFC experience and proven finishing ability
  • McVey's total lack of UFC-level data and unknown defensive capabilities
Write-up

Brunno Ferreira demonstrates clear statistical superiority in striking volume, accuracy, and defensive metrics, with significant UFC experience. Jackson McVey lacks any recorded UFC-level data, indicating either debut status or insufficient sample size, making his competitive level a major unknown. Ferreira's aggressive style, high strike output, and proven finishing ability against established opposition make him a strong favorite in this matchup.