- Allen averages 1.3 submissions per fight compared to Vettori's 0.5, showing clear grappling superiority
- Both fighters scored submission wins over Karl Roberson, but Allen has 2 recent sub victories
- Vettori's 69% TDD vs Allen's persistent wrestling creates openings for ground exchanges
- Allen's 75% win rate and finishing mentality contrasts with Vettori's decision-heavy approach
Write-up
Allen's elite submission game (1.3 subs per fight) presents major problems for Vettori's predictable grinding style. With 2 recent submission wins and superior finishing ability, Allen can threaten from bottom position where Vettori typically controls. Vettori's 69% TDD is vulnerable to Allen's improved wrestling, and once on the ground, Allen's massive submission advantage becomes decisive.
- Significant striking differential and higher strike defense (Vettori: 56% vs Allen: 46%)
- Vettori's superior takedown defense (69% vs Allen's 58%)
- Allen's higher submission rate neutralized by Vettori's grappling experience and durability
Write-up
Vettori's durability, superior defensive metrics, and proven ability to outlast high-level opponents give him a clear edge in a likely high-paced, competitive fight. Allen's submission threat is significant, but Vettori's takedown defense and experience against elite grapplers reduce that risk. Expect Vettori's volume, striking defense, and ability to dictate range to sway the judges.