Marvin Vettori vs Brendan Allen

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Allen's elite submission game (1.3 subs per fight) presents major problems for Vettori's predictable grinding style. With 2 recent submission wins and superior finishing ability, Allen can threaten from bottom position where Vettori typically controls. Vettori's 69% TDD is vulnerable to Allen's improved wrestling, and once on the ground, Allen's massive submission advantage becomes decisive.

Vettori's durability, superior defensive metrics, and proven ability to outlast high-level opponents give him a clear edge in a likely high-paced, competitive fight. Allen's submission threat is significant, but Vettori's takedown defense and experience against elite grapplers reduce that risk. Expect Vettori's volume, striking defense, and ability to dictate range to sway the judges.