Ateba Gautier vs Robert Valentin

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Gautier holds massive striking advantages with 5.33 SLPM vs Valentin's abysmal 0.15, plus 71% accuracy vs 50%. Valentin's 19% striking defense is catastrophically low and he's coming off back-to-back KO losses. Gautier's 4-inch reach advantage and superior height will allow him to pick apart Valentin from range. The +4.11 striking differential for Gautier vs -6.01 for Valentin represents one of the largest mismatches on the card.

Gautier's striking volume and accuracy are exceptionally high compared to Valentin's extremely low output and poor defensive metrics. Valentin's only notable threat is his high submission average, but he has not demonstrated effective takedowns or control. Gautier's 90% takedown defense and massive striking differential strongly suggest he will dominate on the feet and avoid any grappling threats.