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UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3WelterweightPrelims
Adam Fugitt
Adam
Fugitt
2-2UFC
36 yrsElo 1479
VS
Islam DulatovWINNER
Islam
Dulatov
26 yrsElo 1524*UFC debut
Final: Islam Dulatov by KO/TKO Punch
Who wins
Claude
68%
Dulatov
GPT
77%
Dulatov
Elo
56%
Dulatov
1479 vs 1524
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
6'1" Height 6'3"
77" Reach 75"
Southpaw Stance Orthodox
4.88 Landed / min 14.27
5.33 Absorbed / minlower better 5.49
46% Strike accuracy 56%
51% Strike defense 51%
1.63 Takedowns / 15 5.49
22% TD accuracy 100%
50% TD defense 0%
0.0 Subs / 15 0.0
Small sample: Islam Dulatov, 0 UFC fights.
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 22%Claude: Submission 15%Claude: Decision 63%
63%Decision
Claude calls Decision
KO/TKO 22%Submission 15%Decision 63%
GPT: KO/TKO 25%GPT: Submission 5%GPT: Decision 70%
70%Decision
GPT calls Decision
KO/TKO 25%Submission 5%Decision 70%
Formnewest first
Adam Fugitt552 days out
W
Josh Quinlan
S-DEC · 2024-01-13
L
Mike Malott
SUB · 2023-06-10
W
Yusaku Kinoshita
KO/TKO · 2023-02-04
L
Michael Morales
KO/TKO · 2022-07-30
Islam Dulatov
No UFC fights
Why
Claude
Islam Dulatov
68% · Decision
  • 14.27 vs 4.72 SLPM - 3x striking volume advantage
  • 100% takedown accuracy vs 50% takedown defense
  • 10-year age advantage favoring Dulatov's pace and recovery
  • Fugitt's vulnerability to pressure shown in KO loss to Morales
Write-up

Dulatov's extraordinary 14.27 SLPM triples Fugitt's 4.72 output, creating overwhelming pressure. His 100% takedown accuracy (5.49 per fight) against Fugitt's 50% TDD suggests wrestling control. While Fugitt has UFC experience (3-2 record), Dulatov's volume-heavy approach and 8.78 striking differential should overwhelm the aging Fugitt (36 years old). Dulatov's youth (26) provides cardio advantages for maintaining his extreme pace.

GPT
Islam Dulatov
77% · Decision
  • Dulatov's elite striking volume and accuracy
  • Significant takedown advantage for Dulatov
  • Fugitt's average defensive metrics
Write-up

Dulatov's striking volume (14.27 SLpM) and accuracy (56%) are significantly higher than Fugitt's, while Dulatov also boasts a perfect takedown accuracy and much higher takedown output. Fugitt's middling defensive metrics and lower offensive output suggest he will struggle to keep pace. However, Dulatov's defensive vulnerabilities (5.49 SApM, 0% TDDef) may prevent a finish, making a clear decision likely.