Viviane Araujo vs Tracy Cortez
Women's Flyweight · Prelims · UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira
Who wins, by source
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
Cortez presents a more well-rounded skillset with superior striking differential (+0.70 vs -0.85) and comparable takedown ability. While Araujo has better takedown defense (78% vs 62%), Cortez's pressure-based approach and cleaner striking should allow her to control the pace. Araujo's recent form shows improvement with a win in her last bout, but Cortez's technical striking and ability to mix in takedowns will likely frustrate Araujo's attempts to establish her offense. Cortez's defensive striking (57% vs 56%) gives her a slight edge in exchanges, and her more efficient striking will accumulate points over three rounds.
Tracy Cortez has a slightly higher win rate and better striking differential. Although Viviane Araujo has a higher takedown defense, Cortez's takedown average per fight is superior, which may allow her to control the fight and score points with the judges.