- Borshchev's 35% takedown defense is a critical vulnerability against McKinney's 3.45 takedowns per fight
- McKinney's 1.0 submissions per fight advantage against a fighter with no submission offense
- McKinney's 4-inch reach advantage negates some of Borshchev's striking superiority
- McKinney's explosive first-round finishing ability (7 first-round finishes in his career)
Write-up
This matchup heavily favors McKinney's grappling against Borshchev's striking-heavy approach. McKinney averages 3.45 takedowns per fight with a 36% accuracy rate, while Borshchev has zero recorded takedowns and a concerning 35% takedown defense. The stylistic clash is significant - McKinney's explosive first-round finishing ability combined with Borshchev's grappling vulnerability creates a clear path to victory. While Borshchev is the superior striker (5.4 SLPM vs 4.53, 53% accuracy vs 50%), McKinney's 4-inch reach advantage and switch stance will help bridge the striking gap until he can secure a takedown. Their common opponent (Nazim Sadykhov) exposed Borshchev's grappling weaknesses, which McKinney is better positioned to exploit.
- Takedown Defense
- Striking Defense
- Takedown Accuracy
Write-up
Given the significant difference in takedown defense, McKinney is likely to control the fight on the ground and potentially secure a submission win.