Niko Price vs Jacobe Smith

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Despite Price's significant experience advantage, Smith's statistical profile reveals exceptional efficiency that could translate to UFC success. Smith's striking accuracy (76% vs Price's 42%) and volume (6.95 SLPM vs 5.21) indicate a technical advantage on the feet. More significantly, Smith's wrestling credentials shine through his 13.26 takedowns per fight at 87% accuracy, creating a clear path to control Price, who defends takedowns at just 52%. Price's wild, brawling style leads to defensive vulnerabilities (48% striking defense) that Smith's technical striking can exploit. While Price's experience and durability will make him dangerous throughout, Smith's wrestling control and more efficient striking should secure rounds on the scorecards.

Jacobe Smith has a significant advantage in striking, with a higher striking volume and accuracy than Niko Price. His takedown average is also significantly higher than Price's, suggesting a strong ground game. However, his takedown defense is notably weak, indicating a potential vulnerability.