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Hyder Amil vs Jose Delgado

Featherweight · Prelims · UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira

FINAL: Jose Delgado by KO/TKO Knee
Hyder Amil
Hyder Amil
Age 35 · Elo 1518
WWW
118 days since last fight
vs
Jose Delgado
Jose Delgado
Age 27 · Elo 1513*
W
132 days since last fight

Who wins, by source

Hyder AmilJose Delgado
Claude Claude: Hyder Amil 65% Claude: Jose Delgado 35% 65% 35% GPT GPT: Hyder Amil 65% GPT: Jose Delgado 35% 65% 35% Elo Elo: Hyder Amil 51% Elo: Jose Delgado 49% 51% 49%

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Tale of the tape

Hyder AmilJose Delgado
Strikes landed / min Hyder Amil Strikes landed / min: 6.31 6.31 Jose Delgado Strikes landed / min: 6.23 6.23 Strikes absorbed / min Hyder Amil Strikes absorbed / min: 2.23 2.23 Jose Delgado Strikes absorbed / min: 4.21 4.21 Striking accuracy Hyder Amil Striking accuracy: 57% 57% Jose Delgado Striking accuracy: 44% 44% Striking defense Hyder Amil Striking defense: 61% 61% Jose Delgado Striking defense: 48% 48% Takedowns / 15 min Hyder Amil Takedowns / 15 min: 0.64 0.64 Jose Delgado Takedowns / 15 min: 7.01 7.01 Takedown defense Hyder Amil Takedown defense: 78% 78% Jose Delgado Takedown defense: 100% 100% Sub attempts / 15 min Hyder Amil Sub attempts / 15 min: 1.9 1.9 Jose Delgado Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.0 0.0

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

How it ends

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Claude Claude: KO/TKO 50% 50% Claude: Submission 25% 25% Claude: Decision 25% 25%GPT GPT: KO/TKO 30% 30% GPT: Submission 10% 10% GPT: Decision 60% 60%

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

The analysis

Claude
Hyder Amil by KO/TKO, 65% confidence

This matchup presents a classic striker vs grappler dynamic. Amil has superior striking defense (61% vs 48%) with similar volume (6.31 vs 6.23 SLPM), giving him a significant edge in striking exchanges. While Delgado has impressive takedown metrics (7.01 TDAvg, 75% accuracy), Amil's 78% takedown defense should be sufficient to keep the fight standing for extended periods. Amil's submission threat (1.9 SubAvg) provides a counter to Delgado's grappling, making Delgado potentially hesitant to engage on the ground. Amil's recent form shows 3 consecutive KO/TKO victories, demonstrating finishing power and technical striking improvements. Delgado's lack of UFC experience and 0% win rate in available data suggests he may struggle with the step up in competition. Amil's switch stance will create angles that Delgado will struggle to counter despite his 3-inch reach advantage.

GPT
Hyder Amil by Decision, 65% confidence

Amil's superior striking accuracy and defensive efficiency in combination with a strong takedown defense make him a solid pick. Delgado's striking accuracy and defense are weaker, which could lead to him absorbing more damage over the course of the fight. Even though Delgado has a high takedown average, Amil's strong takedown defense might nullify this advantage.