Hyder Amil vs Jose Delgado
Featherweight · Prelims · UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira
Who wins, by source
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
This matchup presents a classic striker vs grappler dynamic. Amil has superior striking defense (61% vs 48%) with similar volume (6.31 vs 6.23 SLPM), giving him a significant edge in striking exchanges. While Delgado has impressive takedown metrics (7.01 TDAvg, 75% accuracy), Amil's 78% takedown defense should be sufficient to keep the fight standing for extended periods. Amil's submission threat (1.9 SubAvg) provides a counter to Delgado's grappling, making Delgado potentially hesitant to engage on the ground. Amil's recent form shows 3 consecutive KO/TKO victories, demonstrating finishing power and technical striking improvements. Delgado's lack of UFC experience and 0% win rate in available data suggests he may struggle with the step up in competition. Amil's switch stance will create angles that Delgado will struggle to counter despite his 3-inch reach advantage.
Amil's superior striking accuracy and defensive efficiency in combination with a strong takedown defense make him a solid pick. Delgado's striking accuracy and defense are weaker, which could lead to him absorbing more damage over the course of the fight. Even though Delgado has a high takedown average, Amil's strong takedown defense might nullify this advantage.