Brandon Royval vs Joshua Van

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Van's extraordinary striking volume (8.39 SLPM vs Royval's 4.46) creates a significant offensive advantage that will be difficult for Royval to overcome. While Royval possesses better striking defense (47% vs Van's 58%), Van's superior takedown defense (83% vs Royval's 45%) will likely neutralize Royval's submission threat (1.2 per fight). Van's striking accuracy (53% vs Royval's 39%) indicates he'll land more effectively in exchanges. Van's youth advantage (22 vs 31) suggests better recovery and cardio for maintaining his high-volume approach. Royval's southpaw stance and 4-inch height advantage (5'9" vs 5'5") will create interesting range dynamics, but Van's reach disadvantage (65" vs 68") is mitigated by his forward pressure and volume. Van's recent performances show rapid improvement, while Royval has been inconsistent against elite competition.

Joshua Van has a higher significant strike per minute rate (8.39 vs 4.46) and a higher striking accuracy (53% vs 39%). Additionally, Joshua's takedown defense is significantly better than Brandon's takedown accuracy, suggesting that Brandon might struggle to take the fight to the ground.