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UFC 317: Topuria vs. OliveiraHeavyweightPrelims
Jhonata DinizWINNER
Jhonata
Diniz
2-1UFC
34 yrsElo 1504
VS
Alvin Hines
Alvin
Hines
33 yrsElo 1482*UFC debut
Final: Jhonata Diniz by U-DEC
Who wins
Claude
75%
Diniz
GPT
85%
Diniz
Elo
53%
Diniz
1504 vs 1482
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
6'4" Height n/a
79" Reach n/a
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
3.89 Landed / min n/a
3.62 Absorbed / minlower better n/a
56% Strike accuracy 0%
56% Strike defense 0%
0.00 Takedowns / 15 n/a
0% TD accuracy 0%
70% TD defense 0%
0.0 Subs / 15 n/a
Small sample: Alvin Hines, 0 UFC fights.
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 65%Claude: Submission 5%Claude: Decision 30%
65%KO/TKO
Claude calls KO/TKO, Round 2
KO/TKO 65%Submission 5%Decision 30%
GPT: KO/TKO 70%GPT: Submission 0%GPT: Decision 30%
70%KO/TKO
GPT calls KO/TKO
KO/TKO 70%Submission 0%Decision 30%
Formnewest first
Jhonata Diniz223 days out
L
Marcin Tybura
· 2024-11-16
W
Austen Lane
KO/TKO · 2024-04-27
W
Karl Williams
U-DEC · 2024-03-02
Alvin Hines
No UFC fights
Why
Claude
Jhonata Diniz
75% · KO/TKO
  • Diniz's +1.34 striking differential and 4.09 SLPM indicate significant volume advantage
  • Diniz's 70% takedown defense should neutralize any grappling attempts from Hines
  • Recent KO/TKO win in April 2024 demonstrates Diniz's finishing capability at heavyweight
  • Experience edge for Diniz with multiple UFC appearances versus Hines' debut
Write-up

Diniz brings significant striking advantages with a 4.09 SLPM and +1.34 striking differential, while Hines is making his UFC debut with limited data. Diniz has shown moderate upward trajectory with two recent wins including a KO/TKO victory in April 2024. His orthodox stance and 79" reach provide physical advantages that complement his high-volume striking approach. While Diniz's November 2024 loss raises questions, his 53% striking accuracy and 55% striking defense suggest technical proficiency that should overwhelm the less experienced Hines in the heavyweight division where finishing opportunities present themselves frequently.

GPT
Jhonata Diniz
85% · KO/TKO
  • Striking accuracy
  • Striking volume
  • Defensive efficiency
Write-up

Jhonata Diniz has a significantly higher striking accuracy and volume, as well as a superior defensive efficiency. Alvin Hines has no recorded stats, suggesting this may be his first professional fight or he has not had notable performances in the past.