Luque possesses the more technically sound striking arsenal with superior defense (52% vs 50%) and will likely neutralize Holland's reach advantage through pressure fighting and leg kicks. Holland's recent form shows vulnerability, losing his last three fights including two by KO/TKO, while Luque has shown more durability despite his March 2024 KO loss to Joaquin Buckley. Luque's superior takedown accuracy (53% vs 38%) gives him a path to control portions of the fight when striking exchanges become problematic. Against common opponents, both fighters have shown similar finishing capabilities, but Luque's more consistent approach and technical striking should allow him to outpoint Holland over three rounds.

Luque has a higher striking volume and accuracy, along with a better takedown defense. Although Holland has a physical advantage, Luque's overall striking and grappling statistics are superior.