Vicente Luque vs Kevin Holland

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Luque possesses the more technically sound striking arsenal with superior defense (52% vs 50%) and will likely neutralize Holland's reach advantage through pressure fighting and leg kicks. Holland's recent form shows vulnerability, losing his last three fights including two by KO/TKO, while Luque has shown more durability despite his March 2024 KO loss to Joaquin Buckley. Luque's superior takedown accuracy (53% vs 38%) gives him a path to control portions of the fight when striking exchanges become problematic. Against common opponents, both fighters have shown similar finishing capabilities, but Luque's more consistent approach and technical striking should allow him to outpoint Holland over three rounds.

Luque has a higher striking volume and accuracy, along with a better takedown defense. Although Holland has a physical advantage, Luque's overall striking and grappling statistics are superior.