Harrison brings Olympic-level grappling credentials and superior physical attributes to this matchup. Her striking differential (+3.68 vs Pena's +0.72) and defensive metrics (64% vs 57%) give her a clear advantage on the feet. While Pena has shown tremendous heart and durability, Harrison's 100% TDD will likely prevent Pena from implementing her preferred top position game. Harrison's striking volume (4.87 SLPM vs Pena's 3.25) and significantly better striking defense will allow her to control distance and pace. Pena's poor 23% TDD will be exploited by Harrison's Olympic Judo background, allowing Harrison to dictate where the fight takes place. Harrison's recent form shows consistent improvement in her striking game to complement her world-class grappling.

Harrison's superior striking accuracy and volume, combined with her perfect takedown defense, should allow her to control the fight and outscore Pena.