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Jeka Saragih vs JooSang Yoo

Featherweight · Prelims · UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2

FINAL: JooSang Yoo by KO/TKO Punch
Jeka Saragih
Jeka Saragih
Age 30 · Elo 1452*
LWL
510 days since last fight
vs
JooSang Yoo
JooSang Yoo
Age 31 · Elo 1500*
No UFC fights on record

Who wins, by source

Jeka SaragihJooSang Yoo
Claude Claude: Jeka Saragih 65% Claude: JooSang Yoo 35% 65% 35% GPT GPT: Jeka Saragih 80% GPT: JooSang Yoo 20% 80% 20% Elo Elo: Jeka Saragih 43% Elo: JooSang Yoo 57% 43% 57%

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Tale of the tape

Jeka SaragihJooSang Yoo
Strikes landed / min Jeka Saragih Strikes landed / min: 2.73 2.73 JooSang Yoo Strikes landed / min: 6.36 6.36 Strikes absorbed / min Jeka Saragih Strikes absorbed / min: 2.65 2.65 JooSang Yoo Strikes absorbed / min: 4.99 4.99 Striking accuracy Jeka Saragih Striking accuracy: 50% 50% JooSang Yoo Striking accuracy: 58% 58% Striking defense Jeka Saragih Striking defense: 41% 41% JooSang Yoo Striking defense: 56% 56% Takedowns / 15 min Jeka Saragih Takedowns / 15 min: 2.21 2.21 JooSang Yoo Takedowns / 15 min: no data - Takedown defense Jeka Saragih Takedown defense: 66% 66% JooSang Yoo Takedown defense: 50% 50% Sub attempts / 15 min Jeka Saragih Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.6 0.6 JooSang Yoo Sub attempts / 15 min: no data -

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

How it ends

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Claude Claude: KO/TKO 55% 55% Claude: Submission 10% 10% Claude: Decision 35% 35%GPT GPT: KO/TKO 10% 10% GPT: Submission 20% 20% GPT: Decision 70% 70%

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

The analysis

Claude
Jeka Saragih by KO/TKO, 65% confidence

Saragih brings UFC-level experience and proven striking power against the UFC debutant Yoo. With a SLPM of 2.73 and a positive strike differential, Saragih has shown he can both absorb punishment (2.65 SApM) and deliver significant offense. His 80% takedown accuracy and 2.21 takedowns per fight provide a viable Plan B if the striking exchanges become problematic. While Saragih has struggled with submissions (2 of his recent losses), Yoo's background doesn't suggest elite submission skills to exploit this vulnerability. Saragih's orthodox stance and proven finishing ability should be the difference maker in this matchup.

GPT
Jeka Saragih by Decision, 80% confidence

Given the statistical data available, Jeka Saragih shows superior skills in striking and grappling compared to JooSang Yoo whose stats are unavailable or at zero. Saragih's takedown accuracy and defense are notably high which could be a key factor in controlling the fight.