Bruno Silva vs Joshua Van

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Van holds significant statistical advantages across multiple dimensions. His striking volume (8.39 SLPM vs Silva's 4.12) and accuracy (53% vs 49%) give him a clear edge in the stand-up exchanges. Van's defense is also markedly better at 58% compared to Silva's 41%, suggesting Silva will absorb significantly more damage. In the grappling department, Van's takedown accuracy (63% vs 27%) and takedown defense (83% vs 73%) further cement his advantage. Silva's inconsistent weight class history (moving between middleweight and flyweight) contrasts with Van's consistent flyweight competition. Van's recent form shows improvement with back-to-back decision wins, while Silva has alternated between wins and losses. The volume differential will be the deciding factor as Van outworks Silva to a clear decision victory.

Joshua Van has a higher strike rate and better takedown accuracy and defense. His overall win rate is also higher.