Azamat Murzakanov vs Brendson Ribeiro

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Murzakanov holds decisive advantages in striking metrics with superior volume (4.72 SLPM vs 3.08), accuracy (56% vs 46%), and defense (61% vs 49%). His southpaw stance will create angles that Ribeiro struggles to defend against. Ribeiro's 0% takedown defense is particularly concerning against Murzakanov's 83% takedown defense, suggesting Ribeiro's grappling-heavy approach will be neutralized. Murzakanov's recent form is strong with three consecutive wins before his most recent loss, while Ribeiro is on a four-fight losing streak. The physical disadvantages Murzakanov faces (5'10" vs 6'3" height, 71" vs 81" reach) will be mitigated by his superior footwork and striking technique. Ribeiro's vulnerability to strikes, combined with Murzakanov's power and accuracy, points to a likely knockout finish in the second round as Ribeiro fatigues from failed takedown attempts.

Murzakanov has a higher striking accuracy and volume. Also, Ribeiro's takedown defense is weak which can be exploited by Murzakanov. Murzakanov's significant striking and takedown defense stats also suggest he may be more successful in keeping the fight standing where he can use his striking advantage.