Khaos Williams vs Andreas Gustafsson

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Williams brings explosive striking power and proven UFC-level experience against Gustafsson, who despite impressive regional stats (77% striking accuracy, 4.56 SLPM) will face a significant step up in competition. Williams' 4-inch reach advantage (77" vs 73") will allow him to control distance and land his powerful shots, which have resulted in multiple first-round KOs in his UFC career. Williams' 80% TDD should neutralize Gustafsson's wrestling advantage (3.6 TDAvg), especially early in the fight. Williams' recent form shows three consecutive wins including two KO/TKOs, demonstrating his continued development as a dangerous striker. The orthodox vs orthodox matchup favors Williams' counter-striking style, and his experience against higher-caliber UFC competition will be a decisive factor.

Despite Williams' higher SLPM, Gustafsson's superior striking accuracy, takedown average and takedown accuracy combined with 100% takedown defense suggest a strategic advantage. The striking volume of both fighters is fairly close, but Gustafsson has a better differential value indicating his ability to land more strikes while absorbing less.