Navajo Stirling vs Ivan Erslan

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Stirling possesses significant advantages in striking volume (5.82 vs 2.6 SLPM) and reach (79" vs 72"). This 7-inch reach differential will be crucial in a matchup between two orthodox fighters. While Erslan has more UFC experience, his recent form shows consecutive losses and difficulty adapting to UFC-level competition. Stirling's defensive metrics (58% strike defense) slightly edge Erslan's (62%), but his superior volume and reach should allow him to control distance and outpoint Erslan at range. Erslan's takedown average (1.0) suggests he may attempt to wrestle, but Stirling's 72% takedown defense should be sufficient to keep the fight standing where his volume advantage can accumulate points.

Stirling's superior striking volume and defensive statistics suggest a striking-based decision victory, as both fighters have shown little grappling effectiveness.