Daniel Santos vs JeongYeong Lee
Featherweight · Prelims · UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena
Who wins, by source
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
Santos brings significantly higher striking volume (4.26 SLPM vs Lee's 2.84) which should allow him to outwork Lee over three rounds. While Lee has better striking accuracy (52% vs 37%), Santos' output advantage should overcome this deficit. Santos also has a stronger takedown average (1.9 vs 0.93) which gives him a path to control portions of the fight. Lee's reach advantage (73" vs 67") is substantial, but Santos has shown better adaptability against rangier opponents and his aggressive pressure style should neutralize Lee's reach. Santos' recent upward trend contrasts with Lee's mixed results, including two recent KO/TKO losses that raise questions about his durability.
Daniel Santos possesses a higher significant strike rate and takedown average. Although JeongYeong Lee has a slightly better striking accuracy and takedown defense, Santos' volume and pressure are likely to give him the edge in a decision.