Mike Malott vs Charles Radtke
Welterweight · Prelims · UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena
Who wins, by source
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
This welterweight clash pits Malott's well-rounded game against Radtke's striking-focused approach. Malott's 4-inch height advantage and superior grappling credentials (2.27 TDs per fight, 0.8 submissions) create a clear path to victory against Radtke, who has perfect TDD (100%) but against limited competition. The key dynamic will be Radtke's ability to maintain distance and defend takedowns against a larger, more technically diverse opponent. While Radtke has shown good striking defense (56%) and accuracy (53%), Malott's ability to threaten in multiple phases will likely force defensive errors. Malott's recent losses have come against higher-caliber opposition, while his finishing instincts remain sharp, particularly on the ground where Radtke is less tested.
Based on the data, Mike Malott has a stronger takedown game and higher striking volume than Charles Radtke. Despite Radtke's superior striking accuracy and defense, Malott's takedown threat can disrupt Radtke's striking rhythm. The fight is likely to go to a decision due to both fighters' lack of finishing ability as indicated by their zero finish rates.