Marc-Andre Barriault vs Bruno Silva

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Despite Barriault's volume advantage (5.98 vs 4.12 SLPM), Silva possesses the more dangerous striking power and has performed better against common opponents. Both fighters have struggled with defensive liabilities, but Barriault's recent form is concerning with consecutive losses including a KO defeat. Silva has shown better results against common opponents, defeating both Jordan Wright and Andrew Sanchez, while Barriault lost to Sanchez. Silva's power punching is particularly dangerous against Barriault who absorbs 5.58 strikes per minute. While Barriault has a slight positive strike differential (+0.40), his defensive vulnerabilities and Silva's superior power make this a favorable matchup for Silva. Barriault's tendency to engage in firefights plays directly into Silva's counter-punching strength.

Bruno Silva has a better win rate and has performed better against common opponents. Also, Silva's takedown defense is higher than Barriault's takedown accuracy, which could limit Barriault's ground game.