Belal Muhammad vs Jack Della Maddalena

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Muhammad presents a stylistic challenge for Della Maddalena with his wrestling-heavy approach and defensive striking. While JDM has superior striking metrics (6.74 SLPM vs 4.39, 53% accuracy vs 43%), Muhammad's takedown average (2.28 per fight) and excellent takedown defense (89%) will be the difference-makers. Muhammad's proven ability to neutralize dangerous strikers through pressure, clinch work, and timely takedowns will disrupt JDM's rhythm. Della Maddalena has shown vulnerability to wrestling, with only 70% TDD compared to Muhammad's 89%. Muhammad's experience in 5-round championship fights and proven cardio gives him another edge as the fight progresses.

Jack Della Maddalena has a higher strike volume and accuracy, and also a higher strike defense. Although Belal Muhammad has a higher takedown average and defense, Della Maddalena's takedown defense is also strong. The fight is likely to be mostly stand-up given the striking styles of both fighters.