Jose Aldo vs Aiemann Zahabi

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Despite Aldo's recent mixed results, his technical advantages over Zahabi remain significant. Aldo's superior reach advantage (70" vs 68") combined with his legendary leg kicks and counter-striking will control the distance against Zahabi. While Zahabi has better striking defense (71% vs Aldo's 60%), Aldo's takedown defense (92% vs Zahabi's 83%) and significantly better takedown accuracy (53% vs 14%) give him clear grappling control. Zahabi's limited offensive wrestling (0.16 takedowns per fight at 14% accuracy) will struggle against Aldo's elite 92% TDD. Aldo's experience against higher-caliber competition and technical striking refinement will be the difference-makers, allowing him to outpoint Zahabi in a competitive but clear decision victory.

Jose Aldo's higher takedown defense, combined with his striking accuracy and experience, are likely to give him an edge. Although Zahabi has a higher strike per minute rate, his lower takedown accuracy and defense may pose a challenge against Aldo.