Drakkar Klose vs Tommy Gantt

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

No market line provided, and Gantt's UFCStats record is flagged as debut-level despite his May KO of Artur Minev appearing in the fight log, so this rests on physical profile, Klose's known numbers and Gantt's pre-UFC pedigree. Gantt is 12-0 with a Division I wrestling base (NC State) and has finished both of his last two (guillotine on DWCS, punches vs Minev); the style tag reads Grappler/Submission with a 100% finish rate in the sample. Klose is 38, coming off 386 days on the shelf, and although his Barboza win was a quality result, his last three years show a Joel Alvarez knee KO and a pattern of narrow decisions. Klose's numbers are solid but unspectacular: 4.33 SLpM at 55% accuracy against 3.54 absorbed, a 50% strike defense that is low for a boxer, and 27% takedown accuracy that will not threaten a D1 wrestler. His 69% TDD is the pivotal number: good enough to make Gantt work, not good enough to stop a wrestler of that pedigree for 15 minutes. Klose's own wrestling is his usual equalizer, but here he is the smaller, older man giving up 6 inches of reach with a worse grappling base. Expect Gantt to mix level changes with a heavy jab, win two rounds on control and takedowns, and survive a Klose surge in the third. Confidence capped at 60 for Gantt's thin UFC data and Klose's legitimate durability and veteran savvy.

Gantt gets a narrow lean because his reported 11.29 takedowns per 15 minutes suggest sustained wrestling pressure against Klose's 69% takedown defense. Repeated entries could create opportunities for top-position offense, although control alone would not guarantee winning rounds. Klose has the stronger striking-volume profile, landing 4.33 significant strikes per minute against Gantt's 2.92, and could take over if he consistently separates and forces prolonged exchanges. Gantt's 75% striking accuracy and 0.85 strikes absorbed per minute are encouraging but may reflect grappling-heavy sequences rather than superior open-space striking. Unspecified sample sizes, missing control-time data, and an undefined weight class limit confidence; his reported 100% takedown defense should not be treated as invulnerability. This prediction assumes three rounds, and the method percentages are conditional on Gantt winning.